Recent poll results show a tight Alaska Senate race

Recent results from a Public Policy Polling survey indicate a neck and neck race in Alaska’s US Senate election. According to the poll, 43% of Alaska voters plan to vote for Republican incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan and 43% plan to vote for independent Al Gross, who has the backing of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Fourteen percent of respondents said they were unsure.


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The poll surveyed 638 Alaska voters at the end of August on a series of questions related to the Senate race. Of those surveyed, 49% voted for President Donald Trump in the 2016 Presidential election, 35% voted for Hillary Clinton, and 16% voted for someone else or did not vote. Thirty-four percent of respondents were Republican, 23% were Democrat, and 43% identified as independent.

Seventy-five percent of Trump voters and 5% of Clinton voters said they planned to vote for Sullivan. That dynamic flipped for Gross who took in 10% of Trump voters and 89% of Clinton voters. Of those who voted for someone else or did not vote, 45% plan to vote for Gross and 26% plan to vote for Sullivan.


Image: Public Policy Polling


Broken down by political party, 76% of Democrats and 13% of Republicans plan to vote for Gross. Thirteen percent of Democrats and 74% of Republicans plan to vote for Sullivan. Gross is leading among independents where 49% report their intent to vote for Gross and 34% say they’ll vote for Sullivan.


Image: Public Policy Polling


When asked about Sen. Dan Sullivan’s job performance, 43% said they disapprove and 39% approve (18% not sure). A question on Al Gross’s favorability found that 38% found him favorable, 28% said unfavorable, and 35% report they are not sure.

Survey takers were also asked, generally speaking, if they thought the country and Alaska were on the right track. Fifty-seven percent (24% Republicans and 88% Democrats) said America was on the wrong track while 32% said the country was headed in the right direction (61% Republicans and 8% Democrats).

Sixty-eight percent of Independents said they thought the country was on the wrong track and 22% said it was on the right track.

As far as Alaska’s trajectory, 53% said the state was on the wrong track (40% Republicans and 69% Democrats) and 31% report they think Alaska is on the right track (45% Republicans and 13% Democrats). Fifty-five percent of independents indicated that Alaska was on the wrong track.

The full survey results are available here.